Description

This analysis provides a forecast of TRX prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-02-09 0.159156 0.179132 0.200053 0.223544 0.249132 0.276105 0.306633
2025-02-16 0.133628 0.160821 0.190744 0.225930 0.265980 0.309960 0.361708
2025-02-23 0.117251 0.149524 0.186563 0.231821 0.285211 0.345775 0.419229
2025-03-02 0.100239 0.135072 0.176665 0.229311 0.293453 0.368334 0.461581
2025-03-09 0.087777 0.124467 0.169892 0.229236 0.303618 0.392641 0.506024
2025-03-16 0.076962 0.114610 0.162848 0.227754 0.311250 0.413457 0.546273
2025-03-23 0.070432 0.109570 0.161262 0.232616 0.326474 0.443568 0.598308
2025-03-30 0.063073 0.102572 0.156353 0.232495 0.334852 0.464914 0.639571
2025-04-06 0.056638 0.096180 0.151628 0.232044 0.342374 0.484975 0.679323
2025-04-13 0.050983 0.090331 0.147107 0.231369 0.349228 0.504009 0.717870
2025-04-20 0.046874 0.086393 0.144931 0.233646 0.359899 0.528073 0.763264
2025-04-27 0.044244 0.084487 0.145510 0.239707 0.375801 0.559314 0.818637
2025-05-04 0.040282 0.080192 0.142383 0.240439 0.384561 0.581607 0.863314
2025-05-11 0.037611 0.077775 0.141920 0.244987 0.398788 0.611631 0.919021
2025-05-18 0.035814 0.076669 0.143385 0.252407 0.417296 0.647927 0.983970
2025-05-25 0.032231 0.072044 0.138873 0.250357 0.421729 0.664517 1.022035
2025-06-01 0.029460 0.068598 0.136008 0.250625 0.429457 0.685774 1.066838
2025-06-08 0.026668 0.064806 0.132267 0.249229 0.434487 0.703135 1.106362
2025-06-15 0.025258 0.063543 0.132729 0.254552 0.449811 0.735561 1.167651
2025-06-22 0.023120 0.060591 0.130021 0.254482 0.456705 0.755745 1.211757
2025-06-29 0.021122 0.057701 0.127203 0.254031 0.462878 0.774875 1.254565
2025-07-06 0.019273 0.054910 0.124352 0.253325 0.468522 0.793223 1.296438
2025-07-13 0.017988 0.053211 0.123396 0.255778 0.479205 0.819233 1.349824